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Pitching Candidates for Regression

Not as bad as you think (Some are still bad)

Name Team IP BABIP Opp. BA ERA FIP Diff
Chad Qualls TB 49.2 0.398 0.339 7.79 4.21 3.59
Charlie Morton PIT 50.1 0.373 0.350 9.66 6.56 3.10
Kyle Lohse STL 60.2 0.357 0.326 7.12 4.45 2.67
Esmil Rogers COL 55.2 0.367 0.297 5.34 3.22 2.12
Trevor Bell LAA 55.2 0.381 0.316 4.85 2.88 1.97
Josh Beckett BOS 95.0 0.344 0.291 6.35 4.45 1.89
Kevin Jepsen LAA 46.2 0.328 0.240 4.82 2.94 1.88
Bobby Jenks CWS 52.2 0.345 0.255 4.44 2.65 1.79
Joba Chamberlain NYY 60.0 0.337 0.262 4.65 3.03 1.62
Jonathan Broxton LAD 56.0 0.364 0.253 3.70 2.27 1.42
Bud Norris HOU 123.0 0.329 0.265 5.34 4.13 1.21
Brandon Morrow TOR 146.1 0.342 0.245 4.49 3.28 1.21
Craig Stammen WAS 121.0 0.327 0.291 5.36 4.18 1.18
David Herndon PHI 46.1 0.354 0.310 4.27 3.11 1.16
Jason Frasor TOR 52.2 0.338 0.258 4.27 3.16 1.11
Carlos Marmol CHC 65.1 0.330 0.167 3.03 1.94 1.09
Mark Hendrickson BAL 67.0 0.357 0.311 4.97 3.95 1.02
Kanekoa Texeira KC 58.1 0.335 0.297 5.09 4.07 1.02
Paul Maholm PIT 160.2 0.329 0.303 5.55 4.57 0.98
Alex Sanabia FLA 48.0 0.327 0.284 4.50 3.55 0.95
Raul Valdes NYM 45.2 0.326 0.261 4.73 3.86 0.87
Francisco Liriano MIN 165.1 0.336 0.244 3.27 2.41 0.86
Justin Masterson CLE 159.0 0.327 0.279 5.04 4.19 0.84
Yovani Gallardo MIL 154.0 0.328 0.246 3.86 3.05 0.81
Joe Blanton PHI 142.1 0.328 0.297 5.25 4.46 0.78

Not as good as their ERA

Name Team IP BABIP Opp. BA ERA FIP Diff
Brian Sanches FLA 49.2 0.239 0.215 2.72 4.67 1.95
Barry Enright ARI 73.1 0.251 0.236 2.45 4.40 1.95
Kyle McClellan STL 62.2 0.242 0.212 2.15 3.93 1.78
Chris Perez CLE 55.2 0.233 0.186 1.94 3.70 1.76
Tommy Hunter TEX 99.0 0.252 0.253 3.64 5.35 1.72
Trevor Cahill OAK 165.2 0.222 0.207 2.72 4.29 1.58
Dustin Moseley NYY 55.1 0.255 0.266 5.04 6.62 1.57
Brian Duensing MIN 99.0 0.260 0.235 2.09 3.61 1.52
Tim Hudson ATL 191.2 0.246 0.219 2.30 3.77 1.47
Dan Bard BOS 63.0 0.208 0.167 1.86 3.31 1.45
J.A. Happ HOU 63.0 0.228 0.196 2.86 4.28 1.42
Sergio Mitre NYY 49.1 0.231 0.225 3.47 4.86 1.40
Clay Buchholz BOS 151.2 0.262 0.224 2.31 3.69 1.38
Mariano Rivera NYY 51.2 0.204 0.161 1.05 2.41 1.36
Arthur Rhodes CIN 50.0 0.231 0.190 2.16 3.40 1.24
Shawn Camp TOR 62.0 0.254 0.231 2.76 3.97 1.22
Javier Lopez SF 53.0 0.273 0.236 2.38 3.56 1.18
Evan Meek PIT 68.1 0.233 0.193 2.11 3.29 1.18
Darren O'Day TEX 53.0 0.213 0.176 1.53 2.67 1.14
Andy Pettitte NYY 115.2 0.271 0.234 2.88 3.98 1.10
Rafael Soriano TB 53.1 0.204 0.168 1.69 2.77 1.08
Matt Guerrier MIN 60.1 0.238 0.227 3.58 4.66 1.08
Ramon Ramirez SF 59.1 0.242 0.222 3.49 4.55 1.06
Nelson Figueroa HOU 60.1 0.247 0.217 2.83 3.88 1.05
Jon Garland SD 168.2 0.267 0.236 3.31 4.35 1.04
Tony Sipp CLE 53.2 0.242 0.212 4.53 5.55 1.02
Brandon League SEA 69.0 0.254 0.225 2.74 3.75 1.01
Rich Harden TEX 80.1 0.275 0.258 5.83 6.79 0.96
Joaquin Benoit TB 50.0 0.188 0.140 1.44 2.38 0.94
Billy Wagner ATL 57.2 0.244 0.167 1.56 2.49 0.93